强势时代Powerful Times
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作者： Eamonn Kelly著
出 版 社： 上海科学技术文献出版社
出版时间： 2005-10-1字数：版次： 1页数： 342印刷时间： 2005/10/01开本： 16开印次： 1纸张： 胶版纸I S B N ： 9780131855205包装： 精装编辑推荐
作者介绍：Eamonn Kelly
Eamonn Kelly is CEO and president of Global Business Network, the renowned future-oriented network and consulting firm. For over a decade, he has been at the forefront of exploring the emergence of a new, knowledgeintensive economy, and its far-reaching consequences for society, organizations and individuals. He has consulted with senior executives at dozens of the world's leading corporations in virtually every leading business sector; with key global and national public agencies, and with major philanthropic foundations. Kelly co-authored What's Next: Exploring the New Terrain for Business and The Future of the Knowledge Economy, and authored GBN's 2003 Scenario Book.
内容简介
History is truly in motion, unfolding before us at a breathtaking pace and leaving us to wonder and worry about what will come next. In this book, Eamonn Kelly illuminates a set of dynamic tensions that will transform tomorrow's global economy, culture, geopolitics—and your life.
Will fundamentalists of all stripes obliterate secularism and usher in a new age of faith?
How will the emergence of China and India change everything from economics to values?
Will U.S. military hegemony prevail or be trumped by non-state actors?
Will scientific and technical advances accelerate or be slowed down by concerns over their risks and ethics?
What will happen as developed nations rapidly age?
Will global markets increase prosperity for all, or plunge some areas into decline?
Can humanity manage its growing planetary footprint?
And how can we, as individuals and organizations, mobilize and align our passions and power to create better futures?
Kelly has spent 15 years helping organizations understand what's coming next so they can embrace risk, master uncertainty, and act with confidence to shape their own destinies. After reading this book, you'll never hear the news, peruse the papers, or make decisions in the same way again.
目录
Acknowledgments
Preface
CHAPTER 1 History Unleashed
Five Centuries of History Coming Undone
Gobbledygook and the Gorilla
Mental Maps and Paradoxical Certainties
Making Sense of a Transformative Era
SECTION 1 What's Happening?: Predicting the Present
CHAPTERCHAPTER 2 Clarity and Craziness
Clarity
Craziness
CHAPTER 3 Secular and Sacred
Secular
Sacred
CHAPTER 4 Power and Vulnerability
Power
Vulnerability
CHAPTER 5 Technology Acceleration and Pushback
Technology Acceleration
Pushback
CHAPTER 6 Intangible and Physical Economies
Intangible
Physical
CHAPTER 7 Prosperity and Decline
Prosperity
Decline
CHAPTER 8 People and Planet
People
Planet
SECTION 2 What If?: Changing for the Challenges Ahead
CHAPTER 9Governance
An Emerging Global Governance
Local Innovations in Governance
A Rising "Second Superpower"
CHAPTER 10 Innovation
Innovating for "The Base of the Pyramid"
Sustainable Solutions
Education and Learning
SECTION 3 What's Next?: Scenarios for the Next Decade
CHAPTER 11 Three Snapshots of the Future
New American Century
Patchwork Powers
Emergence
SECTION 4 So What?:Acting in an era of transformation
CHAPTER 12 Creating our new future
Endnotes
Afterword:Using this book in your life and work
