Seasonal Stock Market Trends: The Definitive Guide to Calendar-Based Stock Market Trading季节储备的市场趋势:基于历法的股票市场交易权威指南

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作者: Jay Kaeppel编著

出 版 社:

出版时间: 2009-1-1字数:版次: 1页数: 298印刷时间:开本: 16开印次: 1纸张:I S B N : 9780470270431包装: 精装内容简介

There is a seasonal bias to the stock market, and by paying attention to the seasonal market tendencies you can gain an edge in the stock market over the long haul. Seasonality offers a practical approach to investing and trading. What better way to learn how to employ seasonal systems than learning from Jay Kaeppel, a master in the analysis of seasonal trends? Kaeppel walks you through this phenomenon that continues to work consistently, providing you with his ultimate seasonal index to make the calendar work for you. Stock Market Seasonals provides a never-before-seen definitive guide that illustrates how to utilize a combination of four basic seasonal tendencies in order to maximize returns.

目录

Preface

CHAPTER I Introduction to Seasonality in the Stock Market

The Concept of Seasons and Seasonality

What Is Seasonality?

The Pioneers of Stock Market Seasonality

Measuring Market Performance throughout This Book

How to Trade the Dew

Seasonal Trends to Consider

Summing Up

CHAPTER 2 The Month of January

The First Five Days of January

The Last Five Days of January

The January Barometer

The January Barometer as a Stand-Alone System

The JayNewary Barometer

The Ultimate January Barometer System

The Effect of Compounding

A Few Words of Warning

Summing Up

CHAPTER 3 Holiday Seasonal Trends

The Holidays

The Trading Day before Each Holiday

Two Days before Each Holiday

Three Days before and after Each Holiday

The Best Holiday Trading Days

The Ultimate Holiday System

The Most Wonderful Week of the Year (Usually)

Summing Up

CHAPTER 4 Monthly Seasonal Trends

The Best Day of the Month

The Trading Days of the Month

The Worst Trading Days of the Month

The Best Trading Days of the Month (Part 1)

The Best Trading Days of the Month (Part 2):

The Month-End/New-Month Pattern

The Most Wonderful Time of the Year

Monthly 10 Combined with the Santa Claus Rally

The Ultimate Monthly Days System

One Last Tweak

Summing Up

CHAPTER 5 Yearly Seasonal Trends

Decennial Patterns (Part 1.: Ranking the Years)

Decennial Patterns (Part 2: The Best and Worst Years)

Decennial Patterns (Part 3: The Decennial Road Map)

Decennial Tendencies

Decade-by-Decade Performance

Intradecade Trends of Note

Intradecade Cycles Combined

Summing Up

CHAPTER 6 Repetitive Time Cycles of Note

The 2 1 2-Week Cycle

The 40-Week Cycle

The 53-Day Cycle

Combining Cycles

The Ultimate Time Cycles Model

Summing Up

CHAPTER 7 Election Cycle Investing

The Election Cycle: By the Years

The Election Cycle: By the Months

Two Other Patterns in the Election Cycle

The Ultimate Election Cycle System

Summing Up

CHAPTER 8 Sell in May and Go Away

November to May

What Is MACD?

Using MACD as a Filter

October through June for the Nasdaq

The Dead Zones

The Easiest Market-Beating Strategy in the World

October of Year 7

Summing Up

CHAPTER 9 Putting it All Together

Building Seasonal Trading Models

Building the KTI

Comparing Extreme KTI Readings

Model 1: The Long-Only Method

Model 2: The Long-Only Plus Leverage (LOPL) Method

Model 3: Jay's Ultimate Seasonal Barometer

Summing Up

Index

 
 
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