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投tou资zi者zhe要yao对dui大da势shi有you正zheng确que的de判pan断duan，能neng否fou当dang机ji立li断duan，是shi否fou具ju有you承cheng亏kui的de心xin理li素su质zhi。只zhi有you及ji时shi果guo断duan地di卖mai出chu，才cai能neng防fang止zhi投tou资zi损sun失shi的de进jin一yi步bu扩kuo大da。只zhi要yao能neng保bao证zheng资zi金jin不bu受shou大da的de损sun失shi，投tou资zi中zhong永yong远yuan有you无wu数shu的de机ji会hui可ke以yi再zai赚zhuan回hui来lai。技ji术shu仅jin仅jin是shi基ji于yu概gai率lv论lun和he统tong计ji学xue的de一yi种zhong综zong合he分fen析xi手shou段duan，绝jue非fei预yu测ce。所suo以yi技ji术shu分fen析xi是shi在zai考kao虑lv做zuo好hao止zhi损sun的de情qing况kuang下xia去qu博bo取qu大da概gai率lv事shi件jian。另ling外wai短duan线xian操cao作zuo请qing一yi定ding做zuo好hao止zhi损sun。黄huang金jin消xiao息xi面mian解jie读du：
近jin期qi美mei元yuan强qiang势shi蹿cuan升sheng、风feng头tou不bu减jian，周zhou二er公gong布bu的de“恐kong怖bu数shu据ju”更geng助zhu长chang了le美mei联lian储chu今jin年nian将jiang加jia息xi四si次ci的de预yu期qi。在zai美mei元yuan的de打da压ya下xia，黄huang金jin跌die破po1300美mei元yuan的de支zhi撑cheng，至zhi今jin仍reng在zai千qian三san关guan口kou下xia方fang徘pai徊huai。
自zi年nian初chu以yi来lai，黄huang金jin与yu美mei债zhai利li率lv、通tong胀zhang预yu期qi的de相xiang关guan性xing有you所suo背bei离li，但dan最zui近jin这zhe种zhong相xiang关guan性xing又you重chong新xin恢hui复fu了le。当dang前qian美mei债zhai利li率lv和he美mei元yuan存cun在zai的de持chi续xu上shang行xing的de倾qing向xiang，令ling金jin价jia承cheng压ya；而er黄huang金jin跌die破po1300美mei元yuan关guan口kou也ye给gei金jin价jia带dai来lai下xia行xing压ya力li。一yi些xie分fen析xi师shi表biao示shi，尽jin管guan黄huang金jin市shi场chang已yi经jing超chao卖mai，但dan黄huang金jin有you进jin一yi步bu下xia跌die的de空kong间jian。
今jin年nian一yi季ji度du下xia旬xun，黄huang金jin和he通tong胀zhang预yu期qi呈cheng现xian负fu相xiang关guan性xing，但dan近jin期qi黄huang金jin恢hui复fu与yu通tong胀zhang预yu期qi的de正zheng相xiang关guan性xing。上shang一yi次ci出chu现xian这zhe种zhong情qing况kuang是shi在zai2016年nian，当dang年nian8月yue黄huang金jin和he通tong胀zhang预yu期qi走zou势shi背bei离li，而er随sui着zhe其qi相xiang关guan性xing的de正zheng常chang化hua，黄huang金jin价jia格ge暴bao跌die200美mei元yuan。当dang前qian黄huang金jin与yu通tong胀zhang预yu期qi的de相xiang关guan性xing恢hui复fu正zheng常chang，而er且qie近jin期qi突tu破po了le支zhi撑cheng点dian1300美mei元yuan，极ji有you可ke能neng继ji续xu下xia跌die10%-20%。
晚wan间jian黄huang金jin技ji术shu面mian解jie读du：
黄huang金jin近jin期qi弱ruo势shi延yan续xu，但dan自zi周zhou二er一yi波bo大da幅fu的de下xia跌die之zhi后hou，并bing没mei有you再zai次ci初chu见jian较jiao大da的de跌die幅fu了le，近jin期qi一yi直zhi是shi呈cheng震zhen荡dang式shi的de行xing情qing在zai运yun行xing，波bo动dong并bing不bu太tai大da，就jiu目mu前qian的de格ge局ju来lai看kan，这zhe种zhong行xing情qing还huan将jiang延yan续xu，目mu前qian黄huang金jin小xiao时shi图tu主zhu图tu指zhi标biao显xian示shi，K线xian目mu前qian是shi运yun行xing在zai布bu林lin带dai下xia轨gui上shang方fang，布bu林lin带dai张zhang口kou持chi续xu呈cheng窄zhai幅fu通tong道dao运yun行xing，没mei有you明ming显xian的de表biao明ming趋qu势shi，那na么me震zhen荡dang的de行xing情qing就jiu将jiang延yan续xu，在zai观guan附fu图tu指zhi标biaoKDJ三san线xian刚gang刚gang形xing成cheng汇hui合he之zhi势shi，逐zhu渐jian形xing成cheng小xiao金jin叉cha运yun行xing，在zai观guanMACD双shuang线xian指zhi标biao，目mu前qian是shi持chi续xu呈cheng粘nian合he之zhi势shi运yun行xing，绿lv色se动dong能neng柱zhu目mu前qian也ye是shi仅jin仅jin呈cheng略lue微wei放fang量liang之zhi势shi，郭guo.楚chu综zong合he来lai看kan，日ri内nei黄huang金jin的de跌die势shi也ye就jiu这zhe样yang了le，跌die势shi走zou完wan，震zhen荡dang延yan续xu，那na么me晚wan间jian我wo们men就jiu要yao去qu抓zhua短duan暂zan反fan弹tan的de利li润run了le，所suo以yi在zai晚wan间jian黄huang金jin的de操cao作zuo上shang，郭guo楚chu建jian议yi低di多duo操cao作zuo为wei主zhu的de。
午wu夜ye黄huang金jin操cao作zuo建jian议yi：
1、建jian议yi回hui踩cai1284附fu近jin多duo单dan进jin场chang，止zhi损sun1279，止zhi盈ying1292附fu近jin即ji可ke
2、建jian议yi激ji进jin者zhe可ke现xian价jia1288附fu近jin多duo单dan进jin场chang，止zhi损sun默mo认ren，止zhi盈ying1292附fu近jin不bu变bian
关guan于yu解jie套tao:
目mu前qian市shi场chang上shang在zai1305-1310这zhe两liang个ge点dian位wei被bei套tao多duo单dan的de人ren不bu再zai少shao数shu，至zhi于yu现xian在zai手shou上shang还huan有you多duo单dan的de朋peng友you，从cong目mu前qian的de发fa展zhan来lai看kan金jin价jia似si乎hu没mei有you反fan弹tan的de迹ji象xiang，那na么me不bu管guan你ni是shi什shen么me点dian位wei被bei套tao的de多duo单dan，目mu前qian来lai说shuo都dou是shi存cun在zai危wei险xian的de，短duan线xian空kong头tou极ji限xian下xia跌die位wei置zhi关guan注zhu1390一yi线xian支zhi撑cheng。 如ru果guo说shuo让rang你ni们men直zhi接jie割ge掉diao，损sun失shi太tai大da，你ni们men不bu能neng接jie受shou；而er坚jian持chi抗kang单dan，危wei险xian增zeng大da，损sun失shi继ji续xu扩kuo大da。这zhe就jiu是shi一yi个ge短duan痛tong还huan是shi长chang痛tong的de选xuan择ze题ti。被bei套tao的de单dan子zi好hao像xiang绑bang住zhu了le你ni的de手shou脚jiao你ni被bei套tao期qi间jian的de盈ying利li单dan都dou没mei法fa进jin场chang，你ni们men眼yan中zhong就jiu是shi不bu允yuan许xu一yi单dan损sun失shi这zhe是shi在zai投tou资zi方fang面mian是shi大da忌ji，合he理li的de止zhi损sun止zhi盈ying才cai是shi稳wen定ding盈ying利li的de王wang道dao.
郭guo楚chu的de操cao作zuo理li念nian就jiu是shi，以yi小xiao止zhi损sun博bo大da的de收shou益yi，因yin为wei做zuo过guo一yi些xie超chao短duan线xian的de人ren会hui清qing楚chu，除chu去qu成cheng本ben，除chu去qu止zhi损sun基ji本ben上shang都dou是shi亏kui损sun状zhuang态tai的de，频pin繁fan交jiao易yi导dao致zhi的de最zui终zhong就jiu是shi亏kui损sun，看kan好hao方fang向xiang，看kan好hao点dian位wei，以yi小xiao止zhi损sun博bo大da的de收shou益yi，这zhe才cai是shi稳wen定ding收shou益yi的de前qian提ti，不bu要yao为wei了le做zuo单dan而er做zuo单dan，要yao为wei了le盈ying利li而er做zuo单dan。
文wen/郭guo楚chu论lun金jin 微wei信xin：gc89527【原文】
