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世shi界jie上shang最zui快kuai乐le的de事shi,莫mo过guo于yu为wei理li想xiang而er奋fen斗dou(The happiest thing in the world is to struggle for a noble ideal)——苏su格ge拉la底di昨zuo天tian的de行xing情qing意yi外wai吗ma?意yi外wai;不bu意yi外wai吗ma?也ye不bu意yi外wai,因yin为wei这zhe种zhong行xing情qing已yi经jing上shang演yan太tai多duo次ci,止zhi损sun的de,爆bao仓cang的de比bi比bi皆jie是shi,赚zhuan钱qian的de也ye就jiu拿na个ge一yi段duan利li润run,波bo段duan的de会hui大da赚zhuan,但dan对dui于yu近jin期qi行xing情qing来lai说shuo,拿na波bo段duan单dan的de不bu多duo,所suo以yi我wo相xiang信xin今jin天tian赚zhuan的de都dou没mei有you大da赚zhuan,相xiang反fan亏kui损sun爆bao仓cang的de绝jue对dui不bu在zai少shao数shu,这zhe就jiu是shi市shi场chang中zhong的de风feng险xian,无wu时shi无wu刻ke不bu在zai的de高gao风feng险xian!既ji然ran现xian在zai已yi经jing陷xian入ru困kun境jing,那na么me我wo就jiu静jing下xia心xin来lai看kan看kan该gai如ru何he解jie决jue当dang下xia的de问wen题ti。黄huang金jin这zhe次ci真zhen正zheng的de趋qu势shi反fan转zhuan了le,还huan是shi继ji续xu下xia跌die的de诱you多duo扫sao盘pan?
黄huang金jin为wei何he暴bao涨zhang?还huan会hui涨zhang吗ma?——
美mei国guo股gu市shi周zhou三san大da幅fu下xia跌die,美mei股gu标biao普pu500指zhi数shu跌die至zhi三san个ge月yue来lai最zui低di,道dao指zhi一yi度du暴bao跌die836点dian,纳na斯si达da克ke100指zhi数shu大da跌die逾yu4%,为wei七qi年nian来lai最zui大da跌die幅fu。周zhou四si美mei国guo股gu市shi连lian续xu第di二er天tian大da幅fu下xia跌die,道dao指zhi暴bao跌die逾yu500点dian。受shou美mei股gu暴bao跌die影ying响xiang,亚ya太tai股gu市shi周zhou四si遭zao“血xue洗xi”。A股gu开kai盘pan狂kuang泻xie沪hu指zhi跌die破po“熔rong断duan底di”,各ge大da股gu指zhi续xu创chuang四si年nian新xin低di,MSCI明ming晟cheng亚ya太tai地di区qu(除chu日ri本ben)指zhi数shu跌die至zhi2017年nian3月yue15日ri以yi最zui低di水shui平ping,恐kong慌huang指zhi数shuVIX升sheng破po24.1,刷shua新xin六liu个ge月yue内nei新xin高gao。
美mei国guo总zong统tong特te朗lang普pu再zai次ci批pi评ping美mei联lian储chu,特te朗lang普pu宣xuan称cheng,美mei联lian储chu在zai加jia息xi问wen题ti上shang已yi经jing陷xian入ru“疯feng狂kuang”,货huo币bi政zheng策ce目mu前qian已yi过guo于yu紧jin缩suo,因yin而er导dao致zhi股gu市shi失shi血xue出chu现xian暴bao跌die!
数shu据ju方fang面mian,美mei国guo9月yue季ji调tiao后houCPI月yue率lv为wei0.1%,低di于yu预yu期qi和he前qian值zhi的de0.2%;美mei国guo至zhi10月yue6日ri当dang周zhou初chu请qing失shi业ye金jin人ren数shu录lu得de21.4万wan人ren,高gao于yu预yu期qi的de20.6万wan人ren及ji前qian值zhi的de20.7万wan人ren。均yun为wei利li空kong美mei元yuan利li好hao黄huang金jin。
个ge人ren总zong结jie:周zhou四si黄huang金jin小xiao幅fu回hui调tiao1190附fu近jin之zhi后hou便bian一yi路lu飙biao升sheng,最zui高gao涨zhang至zhi1226附fu近jin,数shu据ju的de利li空kong美mei元yuan利li好hao黄huang金jin以yi及ji特te朗lang普pu继ji续xu抨pin击ji美mei联lian储chu等deng都dou使shi得de美mei元yuan回hui调tiao,虽sui然ran黄huang金jin涨zhang幅fu颇po大da,但dan美mei指zhi并bing没mei有you跌die太tai多duo,鸿hong蒙meng在zai之zhi前qian的de文wen章zhang就jiu说shuo过guo,美mei指zhi跌die破po95.5一yi线xian之zhi后hou,将jiang进jin一yi步bu回hui调tiao95关guan口kou,昨zuo天tian的de美mei指zhi也ye就jiu是shi从cong94.4跌die到dao了le95附fu近jin,再zai加jia上shang黄huang金jin一yi直zhi以yi来lai的de震zhen荡dang走zou势shi,上shang方fang60均yun线xian1202附fu近jin的de压ya制zhi,以yi及ji箱xiang体ti顶ding部bu1212-14区qu域yu的de压ya力li区qu,所suo以yi个ge人ren是shi看kan好hao继ji续xu震zhen荡dang的de,在zai1202以yi及ji1212-14区qu域yu都dou给gei到dao了le空kong单dan,相xiang信xin这zhe也ye是shi大da多duo数shu朋peng友you进jin空kong的de点dian位wei,不bu过guo由you于yu美mei股gu暴bao跌die带dai来lai的de全quan球qiu股gu灾zai,使shi得de避bi险xian情qing绪xu上shang升sheng,大da量liang买mai盘pan涌yong入ru黄huang金jin市shi场chang推tui高gao金jin价jia,触chu发fa止zhi损sun盘pan,黄huang金jin因yin此ci而er大da涨zhang30多duo美mei金jin。
黄huang金jin从cong周zhou线xian图tu来lai看kan,在zai连lian续xu五wu周zhou冲chong击ji10均yun线xian压ya制zhi之zhi后hou,上shang周zhou收shou线xian终zhong于yu站zhan上shang10均yun线xian,虽sui然ran本ben周zhou周zhou初chu金jin价jia大da幅fu下xia跌die下xia探tan1180关guan口kou支zhi撑cheng,但dan周zhou四si暴bao涨zhang之zhi后houMACD已yi有you形xing成cheng金jin叉cha之zhi势shi,若ruo本ben周zhou金jin价jia收shou盘pan于yu1214上shang方fang,那na么me后hou续xu将jiang进jin一yi步bu反fan弹tan,目mu前qian金jin价jia上shang方fang受shou阻zu于yu20均yun线xian1227.97一yi线xian,反fan弹tan此ci处chu不bu破po可ke进jin空kong。
黄huang金jin从cong日ri线xian图tu来lai看kan,自zi8月yue底di以yi来lai压ya制zhi金jin价jia上shang行xing的de1212-14区qu域yu,昨zuo天tian一yi波bo暴bao涨zhang直zhi接jie突tu破po,并bing且qie自zi1365暴bao跌die以yi来lai的de长chang期qi压ya制zhi60均yun线xian也ye是shi一yi并bing突tu破po,那na么me目mu前qian操cao作zuo上shang以yi回hui调tiao1212-14区qu域yu进jin多duo为wei主zhu,上shang方fang若ruo突tu破po1227.97一yi线xian将jiang进jin一yi步bu看kan向xiang1240关guan口kou。
10.12黄huang金jin建jian议yi:
多duo单dan策ce略lue(建jian议yi一yi):黄huang金jin价jia格ge1214附fu近jin进jin场chang多duo单dan,止zhi损sun1210一yi线xian,目mu标biao1220-27
空kong单dan策ce略lue(建jian议yi二er):黄huang金jin价jia格ge1227附fu近jin进jin场chang空kong单dan,止zhi损sun3个ge点dian,目mu标biao1220-17
行xing情qing瞬shun息xi万wan变bian,建jian议yi仅jin供gong参shen考kao,具ju体ti操cao作zuo以yi实shi盘pan为wei准zhun。投tou资zi有you风feng险xian,入ru市shi需xu谨jin慎shen。公gong众zhong号hao鸿hong蒙meng论lun金jin
原yuan油you暴bao跌die怎zen么me看kan?还huan会hui跌die吗ma?——
美mei国guo至zhi10月yue5日ri当dang周zhouAPI原yuan油you库ku存cun增zeng加jia975万wan桶tong,远yuan超chao预yu期qi,为wei20个ge月yue来lai最zui大da增zeng幅fu。随sui后hou公gong布bu的deEIA原yuan油you库ku存cun增zeng加jia598.7万wan桶tong,超chao过guo预yu期qi的de增zeng加jia262万wan桶tong,连lian续xu三san周zhou增zeng长chang。
欧ou佩pei克ke月yue报bao显xian示shi,欧ou佩pei克ke9月yue原yuan油you产chan量liang增zeng加jia13.2万wan桶tong/日ri至zhi3276万wan桶tong/日ri,为wei2017年nian8月yue以yi来lai最zui高gao。9月yue欧ou佩pei克ke和he俄e罗luo斯si共gong增zeng产chan原yuan油you28.2万wan桶tong/日ri,远yuan超chao过guo伊yi朗lang产chan量liang减jian少shao的de15万wan桶tong/日ri。
外wai媒mei称cheng墨mo西xi哥ge湾wan地di区qu的de美mei国guo石shi油you公gong司si也ye恢hui复fu了le生sheng产chan,这zhe场chang飓ju风feng并bing不bu会hui给gei当dang地di的de油you气qi产chan业ye带dai来lai多duo大da影ying响xiang。
个ge人ren观guan点dian:本ben周zhou油you价jia自zi75上shang方fang下xia跌die近jin5美mei金jin,相xiang当dang于yu黄huang金jin单dan边bian50个ge点dian的de行xing情qing,在zai上shang周zhou周zhou末mo的de周zhou评ping当dang中zhong,鸿hong蒙meng便bian指zhi出chu原yuan油you周zhou线xian图tu收shou取qu带dai长chang上shang影ying线xian的deK线xian,同tong时shi收shou盘pan价jia与yu6月yue25当dang周zhou一yi样yang在zai74.2附fu近jin,那na么me有you形xing成cheng双shuang顶ding的de可ke能neng,本ben周zhou油you价jia小xiao幅fu反fan弹tan之zhi后hou跳tiao水shui式shi暴bao跌die,目mu前qian5均yun线xian在zai71.82一yi线xian,若ruo本ben周zhou周zhou线xian收shou于yu71.82下xia方fang,那na么me下xia周zhou将jiang进jin一yi步bu看kan向xiang10均yun线xian69.89一yi线xian。
原yuan油you从cong日ri线xian图tu来lai看kan,上shang周zhou形xing成cheng黄huang昏hun之zhi星xing,本ben周zhou连lian续xu两liang天tian收shou大da阴yin线xian,并bing且qie价jia格ge跌die破po布bu林lin中zhong轨gui支zhi撑cheng,MACD以yi及jiKDJ死si叉cha状zhuang态tai,5均yun线xian下xia穿chuan10均yun线xian向xiang下xia发fa散san,有you进jin一yi步bu下xia跌die的de趋qu势shi。
原yuan油you从cong四si小xiao时shi图tu来lai看kan,昨zuo天tian油you价jia暴bao跌die之zhi后hou于yu240均yun线xian获huo得de支zhi撑cheng反fan弹tan,目mu前qian240均yun线xian位wei于yu70.6附fu近jin,那na么me操cao作zuo上shang回hui调tiao此ci处chu可ke以yi进jin多duo,上shang方fang已yi于yu71.9一yi线xian进jin场chang空kong单dan,目mu前qian小xiao幅fu获huo利li,大da家jia带dai损sun继ji续xu持chi有you。
黄huang金jin空kong单dan被bei套tao怎zen么me办ban?——
黄huang金jin昨zuo天tian单dan边bian暴bao涨zhang30多duo个ge点dian,行xing情qing确que实shi很hen大da,但dan是shi即ji使shi是shi做zuo了le多duo单dan的de朋peng友you,相xiang信xin也ye未wei必bi能neng拿na到dao很hen多duo利li润run,且qie不bu说shuo自zi4月yue底di以yi来lai的de弱ruo势shi下xia跌die行xing情qing,就jiu是shi近jin一yi个ge月yue以yi来lai,也ye是shi维wei持chi1190-1214的de震zhen荡dang行xing情qing,上shang方fang既ji有you60均yun线xian压ya力li位wei1202一yi线xian,也ye有you1208一yi线xian以yi及ji1212-14等deng关guan键jian压ya力li点dian,所suo以yi做zuo多duo的de朋peng友you也ye大da多duo在zai这zhe些xie点dian位wei获huo利li了le结jie,同tong时shi这zhe些xie点dian位wei也ye是shi大da多duo数shu朋peng友you进jin空kong的de点dian位wei,对dui于yu平ping时shi操cao作zuo不bu喜xi欢huan带dai止zhi损sun的de朋peng友you,此ci时shi轻qing则ze被bei套tao5-6个ge点dian,重chong则ze被bei套tao10多duo个ge点dian,内nei心xin饱bao受shou煎jian熬ao,下xia面mian简jian单dan说shuo一yi下xia解jie套tao思si路lu。
对dui于yu1212-14区qu域yu套tao空kong单dan的de朋peng友you,情qing况kuang还huan是shi比bi较jiao乐le观guan的de,1212-14区qu域yu是shi金jin价jia上shang行xing的de长chang期qi压ya制zhi区qu,目mu前qian行xing情qing已yi经jing有you所suo回hui调tiao,等deng回hui落luo1214-15区qu域yu之zhi时shi小xiao损sun出chu,然ran后hou反fan手shou进jin多duo即ji可ke。
对dui于yu1208甚shen至zhi1202下xia方fang套tao空kong单dan的de朋peng友you,就jiu已yi经jing是shi比bi较jiao严yan重chong的de套tao单dan了le,如ru果guo你ni仔zai细xi看kan过guo前qian文wen的de分fen析xi,应ying该gai也ye能neng知zhi道dao目mu前qian金jin价jia是shi突tu破po了le箱xiang体ti震zhen荡dang的de顶ding部bu压ya制zhi,那na么me回hui踩cai不bu破po的de话hua将jiang进jin一yi步bu上shang涨zhang,所suo以yi建jian议yi回hui调tiao1214-15时shi空kong单dan先xian行xing减jian仓cang以yi避bi免mian后hou续xu再zai次ci暴bao涨zhang的de风feng险xian,然ran后hou根gen据ju1212-14区qu域yu的de支zhi撑cheng情qing况kuang再zai做zuo判pan断duan。
交jiao易yi是shi为wei了le盈ying利li的de交jiao易yi,不bu是shi为wei了le赌du气qi也ye不bu是shi为wei了le交jiao易yi而er交jiao易yi,所suo以yi我wo们men必bi须xu明ming白bai价jia格ge处chu于yu什shen么me阶jie段duan就jiu采cai取qu什shen么me操cao作zuo!交jiao易yi不bu是shi永yong远yuan的de多duo头tou,也ye不bu是shi永yong远yuan的de空kong头tou,而er永yong远yuan是shi跟gen随sui市shi场chang变bian化hua而er变bian化hua!我wo们men必bi须xu有you自zi己ji的de防fang御yu系xi统tong来lai控kong制zhi风feng险xian!风feng险xian控kong制zhi,资zi金jin管guan理li在zai您nin的de交jiao易yi中zhong必bi须xu具ju备bei!
唯wei有you心xin静jing如ru水shui,方fang能neng气qi贯guan长chang虹hong
本ben文wen由you鸿hong蒙meng论lun金jin唯wei心xin86105732独du家jia策ce划hua,转zhuan载zai请qing注zhu明ming出chu处chu。以yi上shang内nei容rong仅jin供gong参shen考kao。投tou资zi有you风feng险xian,入ru市shi需xu谨jin慎shen。【原文】
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