本文为【柳传志谈“过冬”:要做三年以上的准备】的汉字拼音对照版显示拼音
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao接jie触chu的de大da多duo数shu企qi业ye家jia,都dou把ba经jing济ji低di迷mi期qi预yu计ji在zai1年nian左zuo右you,有you些xie甚shen至zhi把ba这zhe轮lun低di迷mi期qi定ding格ge到dao明ming年nian上shang半ban年nian之zhi前qian,但dan是shi中zhong国guo最zui具ju传chuan奇qi色se彩cai的de联lian想xiang控kong股gu有you限xian公gong司si(简jian称cheng“联lian想xiang控kong股gu”)总zong裁cai柳liu传chuan志zhi却que把ba这zhe个ge区qu间jian扩kuo大da到dao三san年nian。11月yue14日ri,他ta对dui本ben报bao说shuo:“三san年nian以yi上shang的de思si想xiang准zhun备bei,还huan是shi很hen必bi要yao的de,我wo们men自zi己ji起qi码ma会hui有you这zhe个ge思si想xiang准zhun备bei。”
柳liu传chuan志zhi可ke能neng是shi最zui早zao警jing告gao中zhong国guo的de企qi业ye家jia们men,要yao为wei冬dong天tian做zuo准zhun备bei的de人ren。不bu过guo,相xiang对dui于yu一yi年nian前qian的de警jing告gao,他ta现xian在zai对dui经jing济ji形xing势shi的de判pan断duan又you有you所suo不bu同tong:“那na个ge过guo冬dong跟gen今jin天tian的de感gan觉jiao还huan是shi不bu同tong的de,比bi如ru说shuo把ba零ling上shang4度du就jiu叫jiao过guo冬dong了le,今jin天tian大da概gai是shi到dao零ling下xia15度du东dong北bei的de冬dong天tian。”
虽sui然ran在zai谈tan话hua开kai始shi的de时shi候hou,柳liu传chuan志zhi强qiang调tiao:基ji于yu他ta的de视shi野ye,他ta对dui于yu某mou些xie结jie论lun“真zhen的de把ba握wo性xing不bu大da”。不bu过guo,这zhe些xie警jing告gao足zu以yi令ling人ren深shen思si。
三san年nian之zhi论lun
在zai柳liu传chuan志zhi的de眼yan中zhong,一yi年nian之zhi前qian所suo预yu期qi的de冬dong天tian,其qi实shi是shi一yi个ge暖nuan冬dong。
当dang时shi的de问wen题ti是shi成cheng本ben过guo高gao:股gu市shi市shi盈ying率lv过guo高gao,投tou资zi企qi业ye较jiao贵gui;企qi业ye的de生sheng存cun环huan境jing成cheng本ben提ti高gao,降jiang低di竞jing争zheng能neng力li;汇hui率lv波bo动dong带dai来lai的de影ying响xiang;然ran后hou就jiu是shi政zheng策ce导dao向xiang,“怎zen样yang以yi发fa展zhan作zuo为wei第di一yi要yao务wu来lai往wang前qian推tui动dong,和he不bu是shi光guang把ba发fa展zhan作zuo为wei第di一yi要yao务wu向xiang前qian推tui动dong,实shi际ji上shang会hui有you不bu同tong的de状zhuang况kuang。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo,即ji使shi这zhe些xie问wen题ti全quan产chan生sheng,所suo谓wei要yao过guo冬dong也ye是shi南nan方fang深shen圳chou的de冬dong天tian,不bu会hui太tai冷leng。
现xian在zai,国guo际ji形xing势shi发fa生sheng极ji大da的de变bian化hua,华hua尔er街jie的de投tou资zi银yin行xing一yi夜ye崩beng塌ta,欧ou洲zhou也ye正zheng陷xian入ru衰shuai退tui。“毕bi竟jing所suo谓wei中zhong国guo出chu口kou拉la动dong经jing济ji的de比bi例li还huan是shi相xiang当dang大da的de,在zai这zhe种zhong情qing况kuang下xia真zhen的de要yao有you麻ma烦fan了le。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo。
这zhe次ci世shi界jie经jing济ji的de风feng波bo到dao底di会hui多duo大da?柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo,为wei什shen么me不bu好hao说shuo有you可ke能neng两liang三san年nian就jiu过guo去qu了le呢ne?这zhe里li存cun在zai着zhe一yi些xie根gen本ben问wen题ti。
在zai柳liu传chuan志zhi看kan来lai,大da家jia都dou深shen切qie感gan受shou到dao,现xian在zai是shi全quan球qiu经jing济ji一yi体ti化hua的de时shi期qi,国guo际ji影ying响xiang会hui直zhi接jie影ying响xiang到dao中zhong国guo,这zhe种zhong影ying响xiang可ke能neng会hui是shi很hen巨ju大da的de。比bi如ru说shuo,美mei国guo人ren一yi定ding要yao改gai变bian他ta们men以yi前qian的de方fang式shi,不bu能neng靠kao印yin钱qian以yi后hou他ta们men怎zen么me办ban,是shi不bu是shi努nu力li培pei养yang自zi己ji的de制zhi造zao能neng力li,然ran后hou构gou造zao贸mao易yi壁bi垒lei;或huo者zhe“要yao不bu就jiu是shi谁shui胳ge膊bo粗cu谁shui来lai,就jiu跟gen以yi前qian打da仗zhang一yi样yang,因yin此ci世shi界jie的de不bu确que定ding性xing大da大da增zeng加jia。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo。
柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo,世shi界jie的de这zhe些xie问wen题ti都dou是shi通tong过guo谈tan判pan可ke以yi解jie决jue的de,那na么me全quan球qiu一yi体ti化hua的de情qing况kuang下xia,谈tan判pan效xiao率lv会hui低di,就jiu是shi慢man慢man谈tan慢man慢man磨mo,下xia行xing时shi间jian要yao很hen快kuai上shang来lai也ye不bu容rong易yi。“所suo有you的de问wen题ti要yao有you一yi个ge消xiao化hua过guo程cheng,我wo觉jiao得de三san年nian能neng好hao就jiu挺ting乐le观guan的de了le,三san年nian真zhen的de就jiu不bu算suan是shi什shen么me太tai不bu好hao的de了le。”
联lian想xiang之zhi道dao
当dang然ran,即ji使shi全quan球qiu实shi际ji已yi经jing步bu入ru这zhe样yang的de不bu确que定ding时shi期qi,如ru果guo不bu是shi刻ke板ban的de一yi问wen一yi答da,柳liu传chuan志zhi的de表biao情qing会hui轻qing松song得de多duo,且qie在zai这zhe个ge时shi候hou可ke谓wei魅mei力li十shi足zu。
这zhe个ge好hao心xin情qing,或huo许xu他ta门men下xia的de赵zhao令ling欢huan有you所suo贡gong献xian。赵zhao令ling欢huan是shi在zai这zhe次ci访fang谈tan之zhi中zhong,他ta仅jin提ti到dao的de两liang个ge“门men徒tu”之zhi一yi。
赵zhao令ling欢huan是shi联lian想xiang控kong股gu旗qi下xia弘hong毅yi投tou资zi顾gu问wen有you限xian公gong司si(简jian称cheng“弘hong毅yi投tou资zi”)总zong裁cai。在zai不bu久jiu前qianAVCJ(亚ya洲zhou创chuang业ye基ji金jin期qi刊kan集ji团tuan)举ju办ban的de“2008亚ya洲zhou私si募mu股gu权quan及ji风feng险xian投tou资zi颁ban奖jiang典dian礼li”上shang,赵zhao令ling欢huan拿na到dao了le“最zui佳jia基ji金jin募mu集ji奖jiang”和he“年nian度du最zui佳jia专zhuan业ye奖jiang”。柳liu传chuan志zhi笑xiao着zhe说shuo:“我wo们men感gan到dao挺ting高gao兴xing的de就jiu是shi,别bie人ren没mei募mu集ji到dao钱qian就jiu成cheng空kong仓cang了le,而er我wo们men把ba钱qian拿na到dao手shou了le。”
就jiu在zai柳liu传chuan志zhi提ti出chu冬dong天tian论lun到dao全quan球qiu金jin融rong危wei机ji爆bao发fa这zhe段duan时shi间jian之zhi内nei,联lian想xiang系xi投tou资zi公gong司si募mu集ji了le大da约yue20亿yi美mei元yuan的de资zi金jin。“确que实shi就jiu是shi提ti前qian一yi步bu做zuo了le,还huan是shi很hen不bu错cuo。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo,就jiu在zai这zhe个ge时shi间jian内nei,全quan球qiu形xing势shi骤zhou然ran逆ni转zhuan,股gu市shi大da跌die,很hen多duo很hen不bu错cuo的de企qi业ye现xian金jin难nan以yi为wei继ji,在zai这zhe种zhong情qing况kuang下xia做zuo资zi金jin支zhi持chi等deng等deng是shi非fei常chang合he适shi的de,“钱qian已yi经jing在zai自zi己ji的de口kou袋dai里li边bian,这zhe是shi非fei常chang重chong要yao的de,没mei募mu集ji到dao钱qian就jiu很hen难nan播bo种zhong了le”。
联lian想xiang系xi是shi中zhong国guo企qi业ye的de一yi个ge标biao杆gan,但dan是shi现xian在zai,他ta起qi家jia的de个ge人ren电dian脑nao业ye务wu,却que面mian临lin着zhe尴gan尬ga局ju面mian。全quan球qiu经jing济ji转zhuan折zhe之zhi际ji,他ta的de这zhe项xiang业ye务wu未wei能neng幸xing免mian,这zhe一yi块kuai业ye务wu正zheng是shi杨yang元yuan庆qing领ling导dao的de。在zai全quan球qiu个ge人ren电dian脑nao业ye务wu的de竞jing争zheng当dang中zhong,联lian想xiang集ji团tuan有you限xian公gong司si(简jian称cheng “联lian想xiang集ji团tuan”)已yi经jing从cong当dang初chu并bing购gouIBM的de个ge人ren电dian脑nao业ye务wu之zhi后hou的de第di三san名ming的de位wei置zhi,下xia滑hua到dao了le现xian在zai的de第di四si位wei。
目mu前qian,联lian想xiang集ji团tuan正zheng处chu在zai一yi个ge转zhuan折zhe点dian上shang,联lian想xiang集ji团tuan截jie至zhi2008年nian9月yue底di的de6个ge月yue净jing利li润run较jiao2007年nian同tong期qi下xia滑hua22.2%。联lian想xiang集ji团tuan董dong事shi会hui主zhu席xi杨yang元yuan庆qing说shuo,这zhe个ge季ji度du业ye绩ji未wei达da预yu期qi是shi“受shou全quan球qiu经jing济ji低di迷mi的de影ying响xiang,加jia上shang自zi身shen的de战zhan略lue执zhi行xing不bu够gou到dao位wei”。
战zhan略lue及ji其qi执zhi行xing,是shi柳liu传chuan志zhi非fei常chang重chong视shi的de两liang大da问wen题ti。在zai谈tan到dao联lian想xiang“转zhuan弯wan的de时shi候hou都dou能neng顺shun利li的de转zhuan过guo”的de经jing验yan的de时shi候hou,柳liu传chuan志zhi总zong结jie是shi“得de益yi于yu两liang点dian”:第di一yi是shi战zhan略lue本ben身shen有you一yi定ding科ke学xue性xing,“这zhe个ge科ke学xue性xing意yi思si就jiu是shi在zai战zhan略lue制zhi订ding的de时shi候hou,能neng够gou把ba有you可ke能neng预yu见jian到dao的de东dong西xi预yu见jian到dao”;然ran后hou向xiang着zhe“预yu见jian要yao做zuo什shen么me事shi的de方fang向xiang走zou,选xuan择ze要yao走zou的de路lu线xian基ji本ben上shang选xuan择ze对dui了le”。
这zhe也ye是shi在zai企qi业ye如ru何he应ying对dui当dang前qian不bu确que定ding局ju面mian的de问wen题ti上shang,柳liu传chuan志zhi所suo提ti的de建jian议yi。
柳liu式shi经jing验yan
在zai进jin一yi步bu解jie释shi这zhe个ge应ying对dui之zhi策ce的de时shi候hou,他ta提ti到dao了le杨yang元yuan庆qing。在zai1994年nian联lian想xiang集ji团tuan从cong不bu确que定ding的de严yan峻jun局ju面mian中zhong走zou出chu来lai,杨yang元yuan庆qing作zuo出chu了le很hen大da贡gong献xian。
1994年nian,IT领ling域yu实shi际ji上shang率lv先xian进jin入ru了leWTO,关guan税shui降jiang低di,批pi文wen取qu消xiao,外wai企qi大da兵bing压ya境jing,发fa展zhan迅xun猛meng;同tong时shi,柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo:“当dang时shi倪ni光guang南nan先xian生sheng跟gen我wo在zai领ling导dao意yi见jian上shang有you重chong大da不bu合he,同tong时shi发fa生sheng在zai1994年nian年nian初chu。”
联lian想xiang必bi须xu制zhi定ding的de战zhan略lue是shi:如ru何he在zai资zi金jin、技ji术shu、产chan品pin、管guan理li都dou不bu如ru人ren家jia的de情qing况kuang下xia,能neng够gou避bi免mian全quan军jun覆fu没mei。当dang时shi的de联lian想xiang进jin行xing了le更geng详xiang细xi的de分fen析xi,他ta们men的de结jie论lun是shi:联lian想xiang的de成cheng本ben高gao,但dan完wan全quan可ke以yi解jie决jue好hao;而er国guo外wai企qi业ye在zai中zhong国guo做zuo起qi事shi来lai还huan有you诸zhu多duo弱ruo点dian。“这zhe个ge事shi分fen析xi完wan之zhi后hou,然ran后hou就jiu决jue心xin要yao跟gen他ta们men竞jing争zheng了le,在zai当dang时shi比bi较jiao冒mao险xian的de因yin素su就jiu是shi选xuan了le杨yang元yuan庆qing来lai做zuo负fu责ze人ren。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo,“元yuan庆qing后hou来lai做zuo的de很hen好hao。同tong样yang的de这zhe种zhong环huan境jing,决jue策ce人ren的de因yin素su非fei常chang重chong要yao。”
这zhe样yang做zuo的de结jie果guo众zhong所suo周zhou知zhi,联lian想xiang最zui终zhong成cheng为wei了le中zhong国guo的de领ling军jun企qi业ye,并bing成cheng为wei中zhong国guo仅jin有you的de、在zai激ji烈lie的de市shi场chang竞jing争zheng中zhong成cheng长chang起qi来lai,并bing进jin入ru世shi界jie500强qiang之zhi列lie的de企qi业ye。
对dui于yu人ren的de重chong要yao性xing,在zai当dang前qian不bu确que定ding时shi代dai,柳liu传chuan志zhi似si乎hu有you新xin的de理li解jie。“其qi实shi今jin天tian人ren家jia问wen我wo控kong股gu发fa展zhan中zhong最zui大da的de挑tiao战zhan是shi什shen么me?原yuan来lai我wo经jing常chang说shuo是shi人ren才cai问wen题ti,今jin天tian看kan来lai还huan有you新xin的de挑tiao战zhan因yin素su。”他ta说shuo,大da环huan境jing的de不bu确que定ding性xing,已yi经jing是shi向xiang中zhong国guo所suo有you企qi业ye提ti出chu挑tiao战zhan的de最zui大da问wen题ti。在zai这zhe种zhong不bu确que定ding因yin素su的de情qing况kuang下xia,企qi业ye制zhi定ding战zhan略lue最zui好hao的de方fang式shi,实shi际ji上shang是shi要yao给gei自zi己ji的de经jing营ying目mu标biao给gei予yu灵ling活huo性xing,要yao有you一yi个ge宽kuan度du,最zui好hao会hui怎zen么me样yang,最zui坏huai要yao怎zen么me样yang,这zhe个ge宽kuan度du要yao比bi较jiao大da。在zai这zhe个ge宽kuan度du之zhi中zhong,尤you其qi是shi要yao按an最zui坏huai情qing况kuang下xia,保bao证zheng现xian金jin流liu不bu能neng断duan流liu。
不bu过guo,柳liu传chuan志zhi的de建jian议yi对dui象xiang,并bing不bu是shi所suo有you企qi业ye,只zhi包bao括kuo那na些xie有you制zhi订ding战zhan略lue能neng力li、有you执zhi行xing能neng力li的de企qi业ye,“其qi实shi现xian在zai就jiu是shi一yi个ge企qi业ye升sheng级ji、优you胜sheng劣lie汰tai的de时shi候hou”。
只zhi是shi,从cong柳liu传chuan志zhi的de谈tan话hua中zhong,我wo们men能neng够gou感gan受shou到dao这zhe样yang一yi位wei中zhong国guo最zui杰jie出chu的de企qi业ye家jia的de某mou种zhong感gan慨kai。“话hua说shuo来lai说shuo去qu,主zhu要yao靠kao国guo家jia领ling导dao人ren把ba中zhong国guo领ling到dao一yi个ge比bi较jiao安an全quan的de方fang向xiang。我wo们men大da家jia拜bai托tuo这zhe个ge福fu气qi,我wo们men只zhi要yao在zai固gu定ding好hao的de环huan境jing下xia做zuo一yi些xie微wei调tiao,实shi际ji就jiu是shi这zhe么me回hui事shi。”柳liu传chuan志zhi说shuo。访fang谈tan
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:我wo们men发fa现xian一yi些xie巧qiao合he,经jing济ji最zui严yan峻jun的de时shi候hou,往wang往wang也ye是shi联lian想xiang完wan成cheng转zhuan变bian的de时shi候hou,这zhe中zhong间jian有you没mei有you共gong通tong的de地di方fang。
柳liu传chuan志zhi:我wo觉jiao得de联lian想xiang自zi己ji要yao转zhuan弯wan时shi都dou能neng顺shun利li转zhuan过guo,得de益yi于yu两liang点dian,第di一yi是shi战zhan略lue本ben身shen有you一yi定ding的de科ke学xue性xing,就jiu是shi在zai战zhan略lue制zhi订ding时shi能neng够gou把ba有you可ke能neng预yu见jian到dao的de东dong西xi预yu见jian到dao,然ran后hou向xiang着zhe预yu见jian要yao做zuo什shen么me事shi的de方fang向xiang走zou,选xuan择ze要yao走zou的de路lu线xian基ji本ben上shang选xuan择ze对dui了le。
像xiang1994年nian的de时shi候hou,中zhong国guo在zaiIT领ling域yu实shi际ji上shang率lv先xian实shi现xian了leWTO,降jiang低di了le关guan税shui,取qu消xiao了le批pi文wen,外wai国guo企qi业ye大da兵bing压ya境jing。当dang时shi倪ni光guang南nan先xian生sheng跟gen我wo在zai领ling导dao意yi见jian上shang有you重chong大da不bu合he,同tong时shi发fa生sheng在zai1994年nian的de年nian初chu。
在zai这zhe种zhong情qing况kuang下xia,我wo们men本ben来lai有you可ke能neng放fang弃qi跟gen外wai国guo企qi业ye的de竞jing争zheng。因yin为wei一yi般ban的de分fen析xi认ren为wei,我wo们men在zai资zi金jin、技ji术shu、产chan品pin、管guan理li能neng力li上shang都dou不bu如ru人ren家jia,要yao打da自zi己ji的de品pin牌pai,会hui不bu会hui全quan军jun覆fu没mei,这zhe是shi一yi个ge分fen析xi方fang式shi。
然ran而er,我wo们men进jin行xing了le更geng详xiang细xi的de分fen析xi认ren为wei,整zheng体ti上shang不bu如ru别bie人ren先xian不bu说shuo,先xian说shuo我wo们men自zi己ji在zai以yi前qian的de运yun行xing中zhong到dao底di有you哪na些xie缺que点dian,这zhe些xie问wen题ti是shi不bu是shi能neng够gou给gei予yu彻che底di改gai正zheng。分fen析xi得de出chu的de结jie论lun是shi,我wo们men的de成cheng本ben巨ju高gao,本ben身shen是shi完wan全quan可ke以yi很hen好hao的de解jie决jue的de。另ling外wai也ye分fen析xi了le国guo外wai企qi业ye,他ta们men尽jin管guan全quan球qiu势shi力li强qiang大da,但dan在zai中zhong国guo做zuo起qi事shi来lai有you哪na些xie弱ruo点dian,分fen析xi后hou,就jiu决jue心xin跟gen他ta们men竞jing争zheng了le。
在zai当dang时shi比bi较jiao冒mao险xian的de就jiu是shi选xuan了le杨yang元yuan庆qing来lai做zuo负fu责ze人ren。杨yang元yuan庆qing做zuo的de很hen好hao。同tong样yang的de这zhe种zhong环huan境jing,决jue策ce人ren的de因yin素su非fei常chang重chong要yao,如ru果guo杨yang元yuan庆qing做zuo的de不bu好hao的de话hua,给gei我wo的de压ya力li非fei常chang大da,我wo冒mao了le相xiang当dang大da的de压ya力li来lai进jin行xing组zu织zhi结jie构gou的de调tiao整zheng。
到dao2001年nian的de分fen拆chai就jiu不bu同tong了le,我wo们men将jiang分fen拆chai的de每mei个ge步bu骤zhou都dou研yan究jiu的de非fei常chang透tou彻che,充chong分fen体ti现xian了le非fei常chang强qiang的de执zhi行xing能neng力li,当dang时shi把ba联lian想xiang分fen拆chai成cheng为wei两liang个ge的de时shi候hou,实shi际ji上shang是shi要yao把ba几ji百bai亿yi的de营ying业ye额e、上shang百bai亿yi的de资zi产chan、一yi万wan多duo人ren的de队dui伍wu进jin行xing分fen拆chai。
联lian想xiang若ruo不bu是shi拥yong有you一yi支zhi权quan威wei的de领ling导dao班ban子zi、很hen强qiang的de组zu织zhi系xi统tong和he文wen化hua,很hen难nan成cheng功gong。这zhe根gen本ben不bu是shi理li论lun能neng解jie决jue的de问wen题ti,分fen拆chai的de好hao处chu大da家jia都dou知zhi道dao,但dan是shi在zai做zuo的de过guo程cheng中zhong有you很hen大da的de难nan度du,这zhe充chong分fen体ti现xian出chu了le联lian想xiang的de执zhi行xing能neng力li。
执zhi行xing能neng力li是shi非fei常chang重chong要yao的de。因yin为wei很hen多duo事shi情qing都dou证zheng明ming了le大da家jia要yao走zou的de路lu很hen明ming显xian,但dan是shi有you的de人ren能neng过guo得de去qu,有you的de人ren过guo不bu去qu,过guo不bu去qu的de就jiu是shi执zhi行xing能neng力li不bu够gou。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:联lian想xiang集ji团tuan的de现xian金jin超chao过guo15亿yi美mei元yuan,现xian在zai很hen多duo企qi业ye有you一yi个ge不bu约yue而er同tong的de做zuo法fa,就jiu是shi囤tun钱qian,这zhe一yi做zuo法fa你ni是shi怎zen么me来lai考kao虑lv的de?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:有you人ren曾zeng经jing问wen我wo说shuo,联lian想xiang控kong股gu发fa展zhan中zhong最zui大da的de挑tiao战zhan是shi什shen么me?原yuan来lai我wo经jing常chang说shuo是shi人ren才cai问wen题ti,因yin为wei经jing常chang把ba路lu线xian制zhi订ding好hao以yi后hou,发fa现xian没mei有you很hen好hao的de领ling兵bing人ren来lai做zuo,人ren不bu到dao我wo们men事shi就jiu做zuo不bu了le,今jin天tian看kan来lai还huan有you新xin的de挑tiao战zhan因yin素su。
大da环huan境jing的de不bu确que定ding性xing,变bian成cheng了le中zhong国guo所suo有you企qi业ye面mian临lin的de最zui大da问wen题ti。今jin天tian大da环huan境jing的de不bu确que定ding性xing,不bu仅jin是shi中zhong国guo的de经jing济ji因yin素su,还huan包bao括kuo了le全quan世shi界jie的de经jing济ji因yin素su,都dou对dui企qi业ye产chan生sheng了le影ying响xiang。在zai这zhe种zhong不bu确que定ding情qing况kuang下xia,企qi业ye制zhi订ding战zhan略lue最zui好hao的de方fang式shi,实shi际ji上shang就jiu是shi要yao给gei自zi己ji的de经jing营ying目mu标biao给gei予yu灵ling活huo性xing,要yao有you一yi个ge宽kuan度du。在zai这zhe个ge宽kuan度du之zhi中zhong,重chong要yao的de地di方fang是shi保bao证zheng现xian金jin流liu不bu能neng断duan流liu。市shi场chang萧xiao条tiao、产chan品pin不bu能neng正zheng向xiang循xun环huan、银yin行xing也ye不bu肯ken借jie钱qian了le,企qi业ye怎zen么me应ying对dui,这zhe是shi应ying该gai考kao虑lv的de问wen题ti。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:现xian在zai萧xiao条tiao期qi也ye是shi一yi个ge机ji会hui,你ni有you没mei有you做zuo什shen么me准zhun备bei?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:应ying该gai讲jiang对dui所suo有you的de投tou资zi公gong司si来lai说shuo,现xian在zai都dou是shi机ji会hui,而er对dui我wo们men来lai说shuo,是shi一yi个ge更geng好hao的de机ji会hui。
为wei什shen么me加jia“更geng好hao”两liang个ge字zi,在zai做zuo投tou资zi里li面mian,做zuo法fa是shi不bu同tong的de。一yi种zhong是shi偏pian重chong于yu所suo谓wei价jia格ge实shi现xian,怎zen么me样yang做zuo高gao价jia格ge,然ran后hou上shang市shi退tui出chu,很hen快kuai地di去qu赚zhuan钱qian,这zhe些xie公gong司si往wang往wang会hui受shou到dao重chong创chuang。
我wo们men这zhe两liang家jia投tou资zi公gong司si定ding的de战zhan略lue路lu线xian,主zhu要yao是shi以yi价jia值zhi创chuang造zao为wei主zhu。现xian在zai看kan来lai,这zhe个ge路lu线xian是shi非fei常chang重chong要yao的de,做zuo的de相xiang当dang成cheng功gong。在zai这zhe两liang家jia投tou资zi公gong司si之zhi中zhong,所suo有you被bei投tou企qi业ye,也ye许xu股gu价jia掉diao了le一yi些xie,或huo者zhe个ge别bie还huan掉diao的de很hen厉li害hai,但dan企qi业ye本ben身shen,都dou依yi然ran是shi好hao企qi业ye,好hao企qi业ye的de意yi思si就jiu是shi说shuo业ye绩ji都dou非fei常chang健jian康kang,现xian金jin流liu都dou非fei常chang正zheng常chang,这zhe样yang的de企qi业ye等deng过guo了le这zhe个ge冬dong天tian以yi后hou,一yi下xia子zi就jiu会hui大da大da地di提ti升sheng一yi步bu,而er且qie他ta们men也ye许xu会hui像xiang刚gang才cai说shuo的de那na样yang,通tong过guo冬dong天tian的de到dao来lai,在zai行xing业ye里li面mian进jin行xing扩kuo大da,这zhe都dou完wan全quan可ke能neng。
真zhen正zheng的de一yi个ge好hao企qi业ye,什shen么me叫jiao好hao,什shen么me叫jiao不bu好hao,其qi实shi这zhe里li面mian有you学xue问wen,要yao不bu然ran谁shui都dou可ke以yi做zuo投tou资zi了le,我wo觉jiao得de这zhe点dian非fei常chang重chong要yao。因yin此ci对dui联lian想xiang系xi的de投tou资zi业ye务wu来lai说shuo,我wo觉jiao得de应ying该gai是shi一yi个ge春chun天tian播bo种zhong的de好hao机ji会hui。
我wo们men抢qiang在zai经jing济ji危wei机ji前qian,两liang家jia投tou资zi公gong司si募mu集ji到dao四si期qi基ji金jin获huo得de很hen大da成cheng果guo,一yi家jia募mu集ji到dao14亿yi美mei元yuan和he50亿yi人ren民min币bi,50亿yi人ren民min币bi还huan没mei募mu集ji完wan,另ling一yi家jia募mu集ji到dao4亿yi美mei元yuan,两liang个ge加jia起qi来lai大da概gai20亿yi美mei元yuan,钱qian已yi经jing在zai自zi己ji的de口kou袋dai里li边bian,这zhe是shi非fei常chang重chong要yao的de,没mei募mu集ji到dao钱qian就jiu很hen难nan播bo种zhong了le。
确que实shi就jiu是shi提ti前qian一yi步bu做zuo了le,还huan是shi很hen不bu错cuo。在zaiAVCJ(亚ya洲zhou创chuang业ye基ji金jin期qi刊kan集ji团tuan)举ju办ban的de “2008亚ya洲zhou私si募mu股gu权quan及ji风feng险xian投tou资zi颁ban奖jiang典dian礼li”上shang,赵zhao令ling欢huan拿na到dao“最zui佳jia基ji金jin募mu集ji奖jiang”和he“年nian度du最zui佳jia专zhuan业ye奖jiang”。这zhe确que实shi让rang我wo们men感gan到dao高gao兴xing:别bie人ren没mei募mu集ji到dao钱qian就jiu成cheng空kong仓cang了le,而er我wo们men把ba钱qian拿na到dao手shou了le。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:钱qian的de使shi用yong有you一yi个ge时shi机ji的de问wen题ti,什shen么me时shi候hou最zui合he适shi?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:对dui我wo们men来lai说shuo,第di一yi企qi业ye好hao,第di二er价jia格ge便bian宜yi,但dan是shi便bian宜yi要yao这zhe么me看kan,2毛mao5买mai了le叫jiao便bian宜yi,2毛mao2也ye叫jiao便bian宜yi,2毛mao钱qian还huan叫jiao便bian宜yi,是shi不bu是shi一yi定ding要yao等deng到dao2毛mao钱qian呢ne?在zai我wo眼yan中zhong这zhe并bing不bu重chong要yao,将jiang来lai这zhe东dong西xi会hui涨zhang到dao5块kuai钱qian,所suo以yi5块kuai钱qian对dui2毛mao2、2毛mao5关guan系xi并bing不bu大da,我wo和he我wo们men的de领ling导dao班ban子zi对dui投tou资zi的de观guan点dian都dou比bi较jiao一yi致zhi。
关guan键jian是shi好hao东dong西xi,能neng涨zhang多duo少shao倍bei,此ci刻ke我wo们men也ye未wei必bi非fei要yao到dao熬ao到dao人ren家jia活huo不bu下xia去qu了le。好hao东dong西xi是shi什shen么me呢ne?行xing业ye好hao,班ban子zi好hao。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:在zai这zhe样yang一yi个ge特te殊shu的de时shi期qi,企qi业ye经jing营ying环huan境jing出chu现xian的de变bian化hua,我wo们men未wei来lai生sheng意yi上shang有you什shen么me样yang的de考kao虑lv?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:这zhe次ci世shi界jie经jing济ji风feng波bo到dao底di有you多duo大da,这zhe事shi真zhen的de不bu好hao说shuo,为wei什shen么me不bu好hao说shuo有you可ke能neng两liang三san年nian就jiu过guo去qu了le?在zai没mei有you中zhong国guo和he印yin度du参shen与yu全quan球qiu经jing济ji的de时shi候hou,是shi欧ou洲zhou、日ri本ben、美mei国guo他ta们men在zai进jin行xing分fen工gong,包bao括kuo了le亚ya洲zhou四si小xiao龙long。由you于yu世shi界jie经jing济ji一yi体ti化hua以yi后hou,美mei国guo这zhe样yang的de国guo家jia,原yuan来lai一yi些xie创chuang造zao价jia值zhi的de能neng力li,实shi际ji在zai渐jian渐jian被bei转zhuan移yi了le,中zhong国guo进jin入ru以yi后hou打da破po了le格ge局ju,把ba日ri本ben干gan的de活huo,美mei国guo干gan的de活huo全quan抢qiang过guo来lai了le,日ri本ben就jiu说shuo往wang高gao技ji术shu上shang走zou,但dan是shi很hen困kun难nan。美mei国guo说shuo我wo们men可ke以yi做zuo服fu务wu业ye,服fu务wu业ye其qi实shi就jiu是shi金jin融rong服fu务wu业ye,衍yan生sheng工gong具ju一yi下xia子zi就jiu赚zhuan了le,其qi实shi是shi不bu创chuang造zao价jia值zhi的de,然ran后hou美mei国guo人ren就jiu印yin票piao子zi了le。
今jin天tian当dang世shi界jie全quan明ming白bai这zhe点dian事shi以yi后hou,美mei元yuan本ben身shen还huan能neng不bu能neng成cheng为wei通tong用yong货huo币bi是shi一yi个ge重chong大da挑tiao战zhan。在zai这zhe种zhong情qing况kuang下xia,美mei国guo人ren一yi定ding要yao改gai变bian他ta们men以yi前qian的de方fang式shi。比bi如ru说shuo他ta们men不bu能neng靠kao印yin钱qian以yi后hou怎zen么me办ban,是shi不bu是shi努nu力li再zai培pei养yang自zi己ji的de制zhi造zao能neng力li;比bi如ru说shuo他ta们men有you拉la动dong内nei需xu的de方fang法fa,加jia大da就jiu业ye机ji会hui,然ran后hou进jin行xing贸mao易yi壁bi垒lei;要yao不bu就jiu是shi谁shui胳ge膊bo粗cu谁shui来lai,就jiu跟gen以yi前qian打da仗zhang一yi样yang,因yin此ci世shi界jie的de不bu确que定ding性xing大da大da增zeng加jia了le。
其qi实shi大da的de这zhe张zhang皮pi是shi什shen么me?我wo觉jiao得de还huan是shi说shuo不bu好hao,在zai整zheng个ge大da的de世shi界jie格ge局ju中zhong,毕bi竟jing中zhong国guo现xian在zai还huan不bu 是shi一yi个ge领ling导dao地di位wei。话hua说shuo来lai说shuo去qu,主zhu要yao靠kao国guo家jia领ling导dao人ren把ba中zhong国guo领ling到dao一yi个ge比bi较jiao安an全quan的de方fang向xiang。我wo们men大da家jia拜bai托tuo这zhe个ge福fu气qi,我wo们men只zhi要yao在zai固gu定ding好hao的de环huan境jing下xia做zuo一yi些xie微wei调tiao,实shi际ji就jiu是shi这zhe么me回hui事shi。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:那na这zhe种zhong不bu确que定ding性xing有you没mei有you考kao虑lv进jin入ru企qi业ye的de战zhan略lue?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:相xiang对dui来lai说shuo,在zai环huan境jing不bu是shi最zui严yan酷ku的de情qing况kuang下xia,我wo们men还huan是shi有you办ban法fa,但dan是shi我wo想xiang对dui大da多duo数shu的de企qi业ye来lai说shuo比bi较jiao困kun难nan。
20世shi纪ji,由you于yu技ji术shu等deng方fang方fang面mian面mian变bian革ge,使shi得de国guo家jia财cai富fu直zhi接jie分fen配pei不bu均yun就jiu造zao成cheng了le打da仗zhang,连lian续xu两liang次ci根gen本ben都dou是shi这zhe个ge原yuan因yin。
二er十shi一yi世shi纪ji,技ji术shu发fa展zhan的de这zhe么me快kuai,现xian在zai就jiu像xiang火huo药yao库ku一yi样yang,聚ju集ji了le这zhe么me多duo火huo药yao。70年nian代dai的de时shi候hou金jin本ben位wei脱tuo钩gou之zhi后hou,美mei国guo实shi际ji上shang随sui便bian发fa钞chao,一yi定ding会hui为wei日ri后hou危wei机ji埋mai下xia基ji础chu,最zui后hou发fa来lai发fa去qu怎zen么me可ke能neng采cai用yong你ni这zhe个ge呢ne,所suo以yi火huo药yao越yue聚ju越yue浓nong,到dao了le这zhe个ge时shi候hou是shi什shen么me状zhuang况kuang,都dou看kan不bu清qing楚chu。
经jing济ji观guan察cha报bao:最zui大da的de可ke能neng性xing的de情qing景jing是shi什shen么me?
柳liu传chuan志zhi:最zui坏huai的de可ke能neng性xing还huan不bu会hui,世shi界jie这zhe些xie问wen题ti通tong过guo谈tan判pan是shi可ke以yi解jie决jue的de,那na么me全quan球qiu一yi体ti化hua的de情qing况kuang下xia,谈tan判pan效xiao率lv会hui低di,就jiu是shi慢man慢man谈tan慢man慢man磨mo,下xia行xing时shi间jian要yao很hen快kuai上shang来lai也ye不bu容rong易yi,我wo觉jiao得de还huan是shi要yao做zuo一yi个ge比bi较jiao长chang的de时shi间jian准zhun备bei,3年nian或huo3年nian以yi上shang的de思si想xiang准zhun备bei,我wo觉jiao得de还huan是shi很hen必bi要yao的de,我wo们men自zi己ji起qi码ma会hui有you这zhe个ge思si想xiang准zhun备bei。
一yi个ge比bi较jiao缓huan慢man的de方fang式shi来lai解jie决jue这zhe些xie问wen题ti,整zheng个ge世shi界jie就jiu不bu会hui很hen快kuai地di迅xun速su上shang扬yang,这zhe些xie问wen题ti要yao慢man慢man消xiao化hua,要yao有you一yi个ge过guo程cheng,我wo觉jiao得de三san年nian就jiu挺ting好hao挺ting乐le观guan的de了le,三san年nian真zhen的de就jiu不bu算suan是shi什shen么me太tai不bu好hao的de了le。
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【原文】